🧭 Microsoft : Bearish Now, But Long-Term Bulls May Have a Shot

Welcome back to Apple Tree 360, where market insights meet real-time strategy. Today, we’re diving into Microsoft (MSFT) as part of our Magnificent Seven stock MAG7 series. Whether you’re a long-term investor or a short-term trader, this breakdown will help you decide your next move.


📉 Microsoft in a Bearish Grip — But for How Long?

Microsoft’s price action this past week was nothing short of bearish. With four consecutive red closes and a fresh low at $366.89, the stock is showing signs of short-term exhaustion. What’s more — the break below key support at $367.80 has opened the door for further downside.

🔍 Key Stats:

  • Recent High: $460.80
  • Current Low: $366.89
  • Pullback: ~20% correction
  • Resistance Level: Downward trendline from March highs
  • Support Zone: $345–$355 (watch closely if selling continues)

📆 Daily Chart Breakdown: Not Great for Traders

The daily chart reveals a consistent downtrend. A trendline connecting the recent highs continues to act as resistance, and momentum is clearly to the downside. Volume remains moderate, which suggests there’s no full-blown panic — yet. But there’s also no strong buying pressure to reverse the trend either.

“Short-term trades on Microsoft are high-risk right now. Momentum favors bears, and tariff-related news could make or break the next move.”


🗓 Weekly Setup: Long-Term Investors, Pay Attention

If you’re looking further ahead — say 1 to 2 years out — the current 20% discount from all-time highs might be a gift. On the weekly chart, Microsoft is entering a potential consolidation zone, which historically has preceded major bullish trends for this tech titan.

This area aligns with previous support levels from Q2 2024, giving long-term investors a reason to stay engaged.


🌏 External Catalysts: Tariffs & Trade Talk

Like most of tech right now, Microsoft’s stock is susceptible to macro headlines. With US–China trade discussions heating up again, any major development could swing sentiment hard in either direction.

📌 Key Watchouts:

  • Tariff announcements or negotiations
  • Earnings-related guidance
  • Broader NASDAQ/QQQ sentiment shifts

✅ Action Items

  • 🔎 Watch MSFT’s performance Monday & Tuesday — momentum will be critical early in the week.
  • 🌍 Follow up on US–China trade developments, as they could drive the next move.
  • 📈 Monitor volume spikes — they’ll hint at conviction returning to either side.

💡 Final Takeaway

Microsoft’s current price action is clearly bearish, but don’t write it off just yet. For patient investors, this 20% dip could be a long-term buying opportunity. For traders, it’s a high-risk game — only enter with a well-defined strategy.


🎥 Want to see the charts and trendlines for yourself?
Watch the full breakdown on our YouTube Channel: Apple Tree 360 https://www.youtube.com/@ApplTree360-s6j3t

📰 Looking for more analysis on major tech stocks?
Visit our blog: AppleTree360.com


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